Will Mortgage interest Rates go downAre mortgage rates going to fall?
Five advantages of an increase in mortgage rates to 6% in 2019
We have seen and listened to this year's humming about "high" mortgage rates and how they continue to rise, but at the moment interest rates are still at historical low points. Skilled home purchasers are continually surpassed by competitive offerings and face a highly demanded but low residential property rental environment. Rising interest rates have advantages: a balanced residential property markets, a lower exposure to another real estate bubble, still low interest rates and new mortgage product from investor.
At the moment the real estate markets are extremely warm. With mortgage rates rising to 6% in 2019, we could see how the residential property markets would level out and more individuals could realize their dream of homeownership. The mortgage rates were around 8% and are currently below 5%.
When we see that rates are rising again to 6%, it is still a historic low one. It will help skilled purchasers to see less competitive conditions in the markets, and with this net we should see a 30-40% growth in the number of deals. House rents cannot go up any further at 8-10% per year because it is simply not sustained.
Average inflation should be nearer 3-5% per year. A rise in interest rates to 6% will of course help to ensure that house inflation returns to a more steady pace year-on-year. The rates are still low at 6%. It is at historic low levels and GDP grew by 4% in the last three months - the overall economic performance is in the region of the latter 1990s.
Mortgage rates were 8% at that point. The combination of such a powerful economic system and 6% rates would be very appealing for homeowners. As interest rates rise, traders could get a 6% yield on their investments. Mortgage rates have developed at high rates, even higher than property trust rates from a low-risk perspective.
Therefore, a return of 6% in a lower-risk investment would trigger high investor interest. Traditional mortgage loans in comparison to state-backed mortgage loans could provide added value for home owners. A rise in interest rates would also mean an rise in investors' product. Advance payments are the main barrier for most prospective home purchasers, but with an interest hike on the mortgage we would probably see how an investor creates advance payments opportunities - with heavy lending.
Mae and Freddie Mac calculate higher rates for low down payment for investor, second home transaction and low FICO values. These kinds of borrower might see more possibilities from investor who would not ask so much for these pails. Investor interest in jumbo loans would also have risen. Overall, at a 6% pace, we would see an improvement in transaction volumes, balance of inventories, lower risks of a real estate bubble, better returns on capital and more investor product.
Taken together, these elements would make for a sound, resilient and sustainable residential property development industry.